ScoUT Report · Illustrative sample

Prepared · Rules last checked 2026-10-07

Washington City, Utah · Washington County

1919 E Fiesta Ln — Casitas at Sienna Hills

Listing claim: “zoned for nightly rental.” ScoUT checked that claim against city code. It holds up. The money is the problem.

List price
$499,000
HOA
$180/mo
Zoning
RRST overlay
Max occupancy
10 guests
Beds / baths
Not on file

ScoUT verdict

Red · doesn't pencil financed
Legal (Gate 1)Yellow · HOA pending
Loan qualifies? (lender DSCR)Likely no · 0.84
Actual cash flow (economic DSCR, Gate 2)Negative · 0.21
Investment score (financed)Withheld
Score if bought all-cash51.7 / 100 · Orange
Data confidence55.1 / 100

The score is withheld whenever a gate fails. That is by design, so a weak deal never shows up with a decent-looking number.

Why it ranks

The legal path is unusually clean. The RRST overlay is zoning that runs with the land, the evidence is grade A (ordinance plus parcel), and the 10-guest cap is confirmed.

Primary risk

UNFINANCEABLE. Modelled base NOI of $6.3K covers only 21% of a $30.6K DSCR loan payment. A lender needs about 100%.

The catch

The seller's business license does not transfer (Washington City 3-2-13), so you re-license after closing. The HOA's rental rules haven't been verified yet.

Gate 1 · Can you legally run it?

Yellow · pending HOA docs
Zoning: RRST short-term rental overlayGreen

Washington City Code 9-12E lists Casitas at Sienna Hills as an approved RRST subdivision. Nightly rentals (27 nights or less) are permitted, and no owner occupancy is required. The overlay is zoning, so it runs with the land.

Business license: new license requiredAction item

Code 3-2-13 requires a business license per unit, and licenses are not transferable. Budget for a new application after closing, plus proof of TRT remittance at each annual renewal and an annual fire inspection. You also need a local property manager or contact who lives in Washington County.

HOA: rental terms not yet verifiedUnknown

We haven't read the CC&Rs or rental rules. Ask for the recorded CC&Rs, the rules and regulations, any rental registration or fees, and recent minutes before the due-diligence deadline. City permission doesn't override an HOA restriction.

Occupancy: cap of 10 per unitConfirmed

The Casitas cap is 10 guests per unit, and the city STR page requires fire sprinklers at 11 or more. Market the unit as “sleeps 10,” not more.

Gate 2 · Can you finance it?

Fail
Down payment
25% · $124,750
Loan
$374,250
Annual debt service
$30,637
Cash to close
$164,720

Assumptions: DSCR loan at 7.25%, 30-year amortization; closing costs 3% ($14,970); furnishing $25,000; insurance $2,400/yr (an estimate, not a quote; the gate treats the unit as insurable). A typical DSCR lender wants 1.0x or better. To reach 1.0x, this unit needs about $75,900 in gross bookings, 1.77 times the modelled base.

Loan qualifies? (lender DSCR)

Likely no · 0.84x base

Gross-rent basis: $43,000 × 75% (a 25% STR expense factor; lenders use roughly 20–25%) = $32,250, ÷ PITIA $38,191 (payment, tax, insurance, HOA). Conservative 0.71x, upside 1.02x. Ignores management, cleaning and utilities.

Actual cash flow (economic DSCR)

Negative · 0.21x · −$24,319/yr

NOI after every operating cost ÷ debt service; this is what ScoUT's Gate 2 uses. Even in the upside case, where a lender might just qualify the loan (1.02x), the property loses about $17.7K a year financed.

Management sensitivity (base, 25% down)

ModelMgmt feeNOICash flowEconomic DSCR
Full management (20%)−7,3106,317−24,3190.21
Hybrid co-host (~12%)−4,3869,241−21,3950.30
Self-managed (your time at $0)013,627−17,0090.44

Implied owner hourly rate at an assumed 240 hours/yr: about $30/hr vs full management, $18/hr vs hybrid. No management model makes this pencil financed at 25% down.

Underwriting MODELLED · L0

Annual figures, financed case
Where the revenue comes from: AirDNA market averages for St. George are $47.8K a year, 52% occupancy and a $271 ADR; Hurricane is $55.5K, 53% and $314. A casita is assumed to earn about 90% of the St. George average, giving a $43K base, $36K conservative and $52K upside. Beds and baths aren't in our file, so this is an assumption. It is not a comp set, a PriceLabs pull or the unit's own booking history.
LineConservativeBaseUpside
Gross bookings (excl. TRT/sales tax)36,00043,00052,000
of which cleaning fees (12%, pass-through)4,3205,1606,240
Rental revenue ex-cleaning31,68037,84045,760
OTA fees (3% host-side)−1,080−1,290−1,560
Management (20% of rental net of OTA)−6,120−7,310−8,840
Cleaning cost (63 turns × $130), offset by fees above−8,190−8,190−8,190
Utilities−4,200−4,200−4,200
Supplies (2%)−634−757−915
Maintenance (1% of price)−4,990−4,990−4,990
CapEx reserve (5% of rental)−1,584−1,892−2,288
Insurance (estimate)−2,400−2,400−2,400
Property tax (100% FMV, non-primary, 0.60% assumed)−2,994−2,994−2,994
HOA ($180 × 12)−2,160−2,160−2,160
Licenses & fees (estimate)−500−500−500
Net operating income1,1486,31712,963
Debt service−30,637−30,637−30,637
Cash flow−29,488−24,319−17,674
Cash-on-cash (on $164,720)−17.9%−14.8%−10.7%
Economic DSCR (NOI ÷ debt service)0.040.210.42
Lender DSCR (gross × 75% ÷ PITIA)0.710.841.02

Cleaning is counted once: guest cleaning fees stay in revenue and the full cleaner cost is deducted (audited 2026-10-07; the corrected model reproduces every figure here). Rows may not add exactly because of rounding. Utah transient room and sales taxes are collected from guests and remitted, so they're excluded from revenue.

Annual cash flow by scenario

Financed (25% down) vs all-cash. Bars drawn to scale.

$0+10K−20K−29.5K−24.3K−17.7K+1.1K+6.3K+13.0KConservativeBaseUpside

Financed · DSCR 7.25%   All-cash ($539K in)

Sensitivity (all-cash base, 1.17% CoC)

Change in cash-on-cash, percentage points

Revenue −15%Insurance ×2Mgmt +5 ptsRate +1 ptPrice −5%−0.88−0.45−0.340.00 (no loan)+0.14

All-cash breakeven: base revenue can fall about 19.9% before cash flow hits zero.

Long-term-rental downside MODELLED

If STR use failed, ScoUT assumes $1,900/mo rent (an assumption, not a rent comp), 5% vacancy, 8% management and tenant-paid utilities.

LTR NOI$8,252
Cash flow, financed−$22,385
DSCR, financed0.27

What would make this work

  • All-cash or very low leverage. The modelled all-cash CoC is 0.2% / 1.2% / 2.4% across the three scenarios, with a score of 51.7 (Orange). It works as a parking spot for cash, not as a cash-flow play.
  • Real unit history. If the seller can show booking statements well above $43K, re-run the model. Upgrading revenue from L0 to L3 would also raise confidence.
  • A price that fits the income. At these revenue levels, a price cut alone won't get a 25%-down loan to 1.0x.

Verification level

Confidence 55.1 / 100
L0Modelled: revenue from market averages and assumptionsRevenue
L1Seller-stated: P&L or listing claims, not documentedExpenses
L2Documented: ordinance and parcel reviewed by ScoUTLegal
L3Third-party docs: HOA packet, booking statements, tax returnsNot yet
L4Platform-verified: direct OTA or PMS dataNot yet

Confidence inputs: revenue 0.42 · expenses 0.45 · legal 1.00 · comps 0.35 · recency 0.85 (geometric mean, so a single weak input pulls the total down).

Sources

  • Washington City Code 9-12E-1 to 9-12E-9, RRST overlay (Ord. 2015-02). amlegal
  • Washington City Code 3-2-13, STR business license, non-transferable (Ord. 2022-64, amd. Ord. 2025-10)
  • Washington City Code 9-14-25, STR outside the overlay (context)
  • Washington City STR page: sprinklers at 11+ occupants; Casitas max 10/unit
  • City GIS: ZONEDESC “Residential Rental Short Term” polygons
  • AirDNA market averages, St. George and Hurricane (internal research, R1)
  • ScoUT 34-listing information-gap study (R2), listing row: verdict CONFIRMED, grade A
  • Model: scout_score.py (R2 spec). Rates and defaults are placeholders that haven't been calibrated yet.

Rules last checked 2026-10-07.

Illustrative sample. This report uses a real public listing to show the ScoUT format. Revenue and expenses are estimates, not guarantees. Legal findings reflect our reading of the cited code on the date shown and are not legal advice. Before you rely on them, confirm with Washington City, the HOA and your lender. Nothing here is a recommendation to buy or not buy.

Brokered by Equity Real Estate - NRE · Utah. MLS listing data is shown as received, and ScoUT analysis is labeled separately.